Game Predictions | Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets

Jets storyline to watch: There’s nothing on the line for the Jets, except some individual milestones: Quarterback Aaron Rodgers needs one touchdown pass to become the fifth player in NFL history to reach 500. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson needs 13 receiving yards to hit 1,000 for the third straight season, something no Jets receiver has done since 1966-1968 (George Sauer). Davante Adams needs 72 receiving yards to reach 1,000 for the fourth straight season and the sixth time in the past seven seasons. — Rich Cimini

Bills storyline to watch: While Josh Allen had success against the Jets earlier this season, it is a team that has given him trouble in the past. He has thrown 14 touchdowns to 11 interceptions in 12 games, but he has beaten them in eight of those meetings. A win over the Jets would boost Allen’s résumé for his first MVP award after Lamar Jackson‘s strong outing against the Texans on Christmas. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: The Bills are 23-5 in division games since 2020, which is the second-best record in that span (Kansas City is 24-5). The Jets are 5-23 in division games since 2020, which is the worst record in that span. — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Jets defensive tackle Quinnen Williams will record at least three pressures. He ranks second in pass rush win rate among defensive tackles over the past three weeks, but Allen is awfully hard to sack. Hence, the pressures — even if they don’t result in sacks. — Walder

What’s at stake: The Bills are no longer in the running for the No. 1 seed in the AFC after the Chiefs’ win over the Steelers on Christmas. But Buffalo can lock up No. 2 with a win over the Jets on Sunday.

Fantasy X factor: Adams. He has been on fire lately, recording 11 or more targets and 17 or more fantasy points in four straight games. Now, Rodgers and Adams can test their chemistry against the Bills’ defense, which is in the top 10 for most receiving yards and touchdowns to receivers since Week 12. See Week 17 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Bills are 7-0 outright at home. Six of those seven games have gone over the total.

Kahler’s pick: Bills 33, Jets 20

Moody’s pick: Bills 34, Jets 23

Walder’s pick: Bills 30, Jets 12

FPI prediction: BUF, 71.6% (by an average of 8.5 points)