NFL Week 11 predictions, win probabilities, picks for games this week
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Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 11 schedule?
ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 14 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.
Take a look at the site’s picks for this week’s NFL games, beginning with the Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday Night Football and ending with the Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
Some of the site’s predictions differ from NFL Week 11 odds and other NFL Week 11 picks for NFL Week 11 games.
How correct will the analytics be this week?
Click on each game for more NFL Week 11 predictions for that NFL matchup. All times MST.
The site allows for the possibility of ties, so the numbers add up to just less than 100%.
NFL Week 11 picks: Commanders vs Eagles | Packers vs Bears | Jaguars vs Lions | Raiders vs Dolphins | Rams vs Patriots | Browns vs Saints | Ravens vs Steelers | Vikings vs Titans | Colts vs Jets | Falcons vs Broncos | Seahawks vs 49ers | Chiefs vs Bills | Bengals vs Chargers | Texans vs Cowboys | The Arizona Republic’s predictions
Watch NFL games on FUBO (free trial)
Thursday Night Football prediction, Nov. 14
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles, 6:15 p.m., Prime Video (stream on Amazon)
Eagles have a 58.4% chance to beat Commanders on Thursday Night Football.
The site gives the Commanders a 41.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday early NFL football game predictions, Nov. 17
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Packers have a 61.5% chance to beat Bears on Sunday.
The site gives the Bears a 38.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Lions have an 81% chance to beat Jaguars on Sunday.
The site gives the Jaguars an 18.9% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Dolphins have a 62.5% chance to beat Raiders on Sunday.
The site gives the Raiders a 37.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Rams have a 67.7% chance to beat Patriots on Sunday.
The site gives the Patriots a 32% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints, 11 a.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Saints have a 50.8% chance to beat Browns on Sunday.
The site gives the Browns a 48.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Ravens have a 61.9% chance to beat Steelers on Sunday.
The site gives the Steelers a 37.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Minnesota Vikings vs Tennessee Titans, 11 a.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Vikings have a 66% chance to beat Titans on Sunday.
The site gives the Titans a 33.7% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets, 11 a.m, CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Jets have a 56.6% chance to beat Colts on Sunday.
The site gives the Colts a 43.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday late NFL football game predictions, Nov. 17
Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos, 2:05 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Falcons have a 57.8% chance to beat Broncos on Sunday.
The site gives the Broncos a 41.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers, 2:05 p.m., FOX (stream with free trial from FUBO)
49ers have a 67.7% chance to beat Seahawks on Sunday.
The site gives the Seahawks a 32.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills, 2:25 p.m., CBS (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Bills have a 54.3% chance to beat Chiefs on Sunday.
The site gives the Chiefs a 45.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
NFL Week 11 odds: Point spreads, moneylines, over/unders | Super Bowl odds | NFL MVP odds | NFL Coach of the Year odds | NFC West odds | NFC East odds | NFC North odds | NFC South odds | AFC West odds | AFC East odds | AFC North odds | AFC South odds
Sunday Night Football prediction, Nov. 17
Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers, 6:20 p.m., NBC (stream with Peacock)
Chargers have a 51.8% chance to beat Bengals on Sunday Night Football
The site gives the Bengals a 47.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Monday Night Football prediction, Nov. 18
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys, 6:15 p.m., ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN Deportes (stream with free trial from FUBO)
Texans have a 70.5% chance to beat Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
The site gives the Cowboys a 29.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
NFL strength of schedule: NFC rankings | AFC rankings
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