Titans vs Broncos Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 1
- The Broncos are -8 point favorites vs the Titans
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Tennessee Titans (0-0-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (0-0-0) on Sep. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).
The Titans vs. Broncos Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Titans vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Titans | +8 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +310 |
| Broncos | -8 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -400 |
Titans vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Titans vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 71.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Broncos vs Titans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins (DEN) | +750 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | +750 |
| Courtland Sutton (Den) | +750 |
| RJ Harvey (DEN) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Titans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lockett (TEN) | 20.5 -115 | 20.5 -115 |
| Calvin Ridley (TEN) | 50.5 -118 | 50.5 -115 |
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -110 |
| Evan Engram (DEN) | 34.5 -110 | 34.5 -118 |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | 55.5 -118 | 55.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Titans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard (TEN) | 61.5 -118 | 61.5 -110 |
Titans Best Bets:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Titans were 2-1 (+0.88 Units / 26.51% ROI).
- Titans are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.08 Units / 1.61% ROI
- Titans are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI
- Titans are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.18 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Broncos were 3-0 (+3 Units / 92.31% ROI).
- Broncos are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 48.78% ROI
- Broncos are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 28.3% ROI
- Broncos are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.32 Units / -38.6% ROI
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Titans are winless (0-7) after a win since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .542.
The Titans were winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .399.
The Titans were 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.
The Titans were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Broncos were 9-3 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 7th-best in NFL. The Titans turned the ball over 33 times last season — T-most in NFL.
The Broncos were 6-2 (.750) at home last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .524.
The Broncos were 3-4 (.429) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
The Broncos were 2-3 (.400) vs top 10 run defenses last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .300.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos averaged 0.24 epa per play with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Titans allowed 0.18 epa per play against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Broncos TEs had just 28.4 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Titans allowed an average of just 37.4 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Broncos allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 18.9% of pass attempts last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Titans had pressured opposing QBs on just 19.5% of passing plays last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Titans were successful on just 39.7% of plays they ran last season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed a success rate of just 37.7% last season — best in NFL.
The Titans scored on 30.2% of their drives last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense allowed scores on 31.4% of opponent drives last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Titans ran just 41.8% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos allowed their opponents to runjust 43.6% of plays in their territory last season — 4th-best in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans have allowed a QB Hit on 25% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans have run 38% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 36% of pass attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans faced a blitz just 10% of the time last season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos converted late downs on 17 of 62 plays (27%) in short yardage situations in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos converted fourth downs on 13 of 14 plays (93%) in short yardage situations last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Broncos averaged 0.17 epa per play on contested throws last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Broncos averaged 6.9 yards per play on contested throws last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense have allowed 0.26 epa per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.
The Titans defense have allowed 7.0 yards per play on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
The Titans defense allowed 0.33 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 46% of plays on contested throws since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 37% of plays on motion plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 38% of plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Broncos defense averaged 3.7 sacks per game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 2.4.
The Broncos defense allowed successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
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